VML Season 12 Week 7 Metagame Update

by Noah R-G

It’s the last week of season 12 regular play, and players are flexing their deckbuilding muscles! (Seriously: this week sees 37 different archetypes, 25 of which have 2 or fewer players.) Good luck to everyone in contention for playoffs!

Last Week’s Results

Performance graph for decks with 3 or more players; the size of the circle is the number of decks, and the height is its win rate.

Last week was midrange’s time to shine! Golgari Midrange continues to be on the upswing, with its 10 players earning a 70% win rate. Esper Midrange follows closely behind, with 13 players earning a 69.2% win rate (nice).

Azorius Control had a good week with a 66.7% win rate across 9 players. Domain Ramp (5 players, 60% win rate), Boros Convoke (12 players, 58.3% win rate), and 4-Color Slogurk (7 players, 57.1% win rate) also had positive win rates last week.

Temur Analyst, one of the most popular decks throughout the season, had a rough week, with only a 33.3% win rate across 15 players. This continues its downswing from last week, as opponents can now more easily predict and counter the combo.

Top Decks vs Top 3

Each week, I list the deck archetypes that have been the most successful against last week’s popular decks in VML. The suggested counterpicks are based only on data from VML season 12. As the season goes on and we get more data, this segment will get more accurate. Each counterpick has at least 3 wins in addition to a positive win rate against the “top 3” deck.

Temur Analyst

Counterpicks: Bant Toxic (74.1% win rate vs Temur Analyst), 4-Color Slogurk (66.7% win rate), Gruul Aggro (53.3% win rate)

Current Overall Win Rate: 51.5%

Esper Midrange

Counterpicks: Dimir Control (77.8% win rate vs Esper Midrange), 4-Color Slogurk (73.3% win rate), Domain Ramp (66.7% win rate), Temur Analyst (59% win rate), Bant Toxic (53.3% win rate)

Current Overall Win Rate: 54.2%

Boros Convoke

Counterpicks: Esper Midrange (75% win rate vs Boros Convoke), Mono-Red Aggro (60% win rate), Azorius Control (53.3% win rate), Temur Analyst (51.9% win rate)

Current Overall Win Rate: 55.9%

Week 7

“Other” represents decks with 2 or fewer players.

With the end of the regular season in sight, players are experimenting and trying out whatever decks their heart desires! 27 players (22.1% of the meta) are playing a combined 25 archetypes with 2 or fewer copies in the pool.

As for the popular meta decks, Esper Midrange is on top with 15 players and a 12.3% metashare. Temur Analyst follows that with 14 players and a 11.5% metashare, and Boros Convoke rounds out the top three once again with 13 players and a 10.7% metashare.

Spice Corner

This week’s most unique decks include Violet_Starmine’s Dimir Toxic, janMelantu’s Jeskai Eggs, and Kawaiit Riot’s Simic Merfolk decks.

Violet_Starmine’s “hi nicole” Dimir Toxic deck is a proliferate deck hoping to get just one poison counter onto her opponent, then just proliferate, proliferate, proliferate. Once her opponent’s at 3 poison counters, Anoint with Affliction Anoint with Affliction becomes extremely efficient removal and Bring the Ending Bring the Ending reliable countermagic. Drown in Ichor Drown in Ichor and Experimental Augury Experimental Augury offer value tapes to proliferate effects, and both Venser, Corpse Puppet Venser, Corpse Puppet and Voidwing Hybrid Voidwing Hybrid get additional benefits when you proliferate.

janMelantu’s “God I wish cranial ram was legal in this format” hopes to flood the board with cheap, sacrifice-able artifacts to grow Gleaming Geardrake Gleaming Geardrake , Patchwork Automaton Patchwork Automaton , and Syr Ginger, the Meal Ender Syr Ginger, the Meal Ender into huge threats. Esoteric Duplicator Esoteric Duplicator lets them double up on sacrifice effects, and both Michiko's Reign of Truth // Portrait of Michiko Michiko's Reign of Truth Portrait of Michiko
and Dowsing Device // Geode Grotto Dowsing Device Geode Grotto
‘s back half further buff creatures by how may artifacts they control.

Kawaiit Riot’s “gentlewoman’s agreement to play merfolk in our match?” is a merfolk kindred deck that wants to do what merfolk does best: go both wide and tall with counters and difficult-to-block creatures. Nicanzil, Current Conductor Nicanzil, Current Conductor is ramp and additional counters off explore effects, Deeproot Pilgrimage Deeproot Pilgrimage generates tokens every time they attack, and Vodalian Hexcatcher Vodalian Hexcatcher is a great way to use those tokens and cheap merfolk to counter spells (I use this guy all the time in Modern Merfolk). Vodalian Mindsinger Vodalian Mindsinger is a fun and funky way of stealing your opponent’s creatures (and Cavern of Souls Cavern of Souls lets them pay for the red kicker cost!), and I’m happy to see it get some play (if only because I have 4 of these things in paper and need to find a use for them).

Full weekly stats can be found here.